04 April 2007

The numerical results of the election

The results are now in and Jodi McKay has been elected to the seat of Newcastle.

So, what do the numbers say?

42,172 people voted formally in Newcastle on 25 March 2007. To win outright a candidate would need 21,087 votes.

1. The Greens are the second party in Newcastle
The Greens polled well becoming the party with the second largest number of voters (Labor had the greatest number of votes, the Liberals had less votes than the Greens). Overall, we polled 11.2% of the formal vote. This vote was down from last time due to the influence of the two high-profile independents running.

2. More voters didn't want Labor!
After the distribution of preferences, Labor was elected with 16,311 votes (25,861 voters did not want the Labor candidate).

3. Electoral Commission has work to do
Electors Enrolled on 5 March 2007: 47,424
Voter Turnout: 43,205 (91.1%, 4,219 didn't vote who were eligible - this is way too many!)
Informal Rate: 1,033 (2.39%)
Formal votes: 42,172

First preference votes
McKAY (ALP) 13,166
OSBORNE (GREENS) 4,729
HOLT 110
GAUDRY 8,870
TATE 10,159
BABAKHAN (LIBERAL) 4,129
LEE (CHRISTIAN DEMOCRATS) 535
ARMSTRONG 168
HUTABARAT 306

Second preference votes
The Greens received a second preference vote from:
21.8% of HOLT voters
4.7% of ARMSTRONG voters
10.6% of HUTABARAT voters
3.3% of LEE (CHRISTIAN DEMOCRATS) voters
5.0% of BABAKHAN (LIBERAL) voters

4. Green voters make up their own mind.
Our voters gave their second preference to:
14.2% to MCKAY (ALP)
41.9% to GAUDRY
11.6% to TATE
32.2% to no-one or HOLT, ARMSTRONG, HUTABARAT, LEE (CHRISTIAN DEMOCRATS) or BABAKHAN (LIBERAL).

5. The Greens upper house vote reflects Newcastle sentiment
Almost 1 in 5 Newcastle people voted Green in the upper house vote, this is more than double the State average.